Working Papers
Working Papers
Dynamic Matching Mechanism and Matching Stability in College Admissions: Evidence from Inner Mongolia, with Le Kang, Wei Ha, and Yuhao Deng. Janurary 2025, SSRN working paper #4555471. Revise and Resubmit at Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
We present the first large-scale empirical evidence on the effects of adopting a dynamic matching mechanism, in replacement of the Immediate Acceptance (IA) mechanism, on matching stability in college admissions in China. In 2007, the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region introduced the "Real-time Dynamic Mechanism", which allowed college applicants to change their college choices as many times as they want during a restricted time interval while seeing their tentative admission outcome when they made each choice. Using administrative data on test scores and admission outcomes of the universe of National College Entrance Exam (NCEE) takers from 2005 to 2011, we construct measures of justified envy, an indicator of matching stability. We use a generalized difference-in-differences framework and, in contradiction to the theoretical and experimental predictions from previous studies, find no evidence that the real-time dynamic mechanism improved matching stability in the first four years after its implementation. Our findings suggest that the real-time dynamic mechanism is much less effective in eliminating justified envy than the parallel mechanism, a hybrid of IA and the Deferred Acceptance (DA) mechanism, which is now widely adopted in other provinces in China.
Voluntary Report of Standardized Test Scores: An Experimental Study, with Ginger Zhe Jin. April 2025, NBER working paper #33660.
The past few years have seen a shift in many universities' admission policies from test-required to either test-optional or test-blind. This paper uses laboratory experiments to examine students' reporting behavior given their application package and the school's interpretation of non-reported standardized test scores. We find that voluntary disclosure is incomplete and selective, supporting both the incentive of partial unraveling (students with higher scores are more likely to report) and the incentive of reverse unraveling (students facing a better school's interpretation of non-reporting are less likely to report). Subjects exhibit some ability to learn about the hidden school interpretation, though their learning is imperfect. Using a structural model of student reporting behavior, we simulate the potential tradeoff between academic preparedness and diversity in a school's admission cohort. We find that, if students have perfect information about the school's interpretation of non-reporting, test-blind is the worst and test-required is the best in both dimensions, while test-optional lies between the two extremes. When students do not have perfect information, some test-optional policies can generate more diversity than test-required, because some students with better observable attributes may underestimate the penalty on their non-reporting. This allows the school to admit more students that have worse observable attributes but report. The results are robust to a variety of extensions, including when schools have access to alternative signals of academic ability and standardized test score is a noisy but sufficiently informative measure of student ability.
Tutoring Supply and Education Spending: Evidence from Private Tutoring Bans in China, with Le Kang, Yi Wei, Wei Lu, and Jingyi Xing. Draft coming soon.
Work in Progress
Effects of Feedback and Uncertainty on Learning (with Emel Filiz-Ozbay)
Trust but Verify? Evidence from Information Disclosure Experiments (with James C. Cooper and Ginger Zhe Jin)
The Effect of Pre-Primary Education on Early Childhood Development (with Le Kang and Zhiyao Ma)